Roulette Strategies

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Copyright 2011 Jafco. All rights reserved.

Roulette Bet Staking Systems

The majority of roulette enthusiasts often start their journeys of roulette discovery by closely examining the potential to win from designing a unique way of betting that can ensure roulette winning in the long term.

For myself it all started many years ago when I remember thinking one day that if 3 blacks in a row happens more often than 4 blacks in a row then surely I will win roulette in the long run if I always bet on red after there have been 3 blacks in a row.  Seems logical, sounds reasonable but of course its utter nonsense!

If anyone is still wondering about the above scenario with the 3 blacks in row I should say that I soon realised that even though it’s true that 3 in a row is more frequent 4 in row I had been overlooking the longer sequences than 4 in a row which all started with 4 in a row but didn’t count as a 4 in a row because they went further on. The point is that 3 in a row will happen as often as the sum of all sequences that are 4 or more. In other words I very quickly realized that there was no merit to this particular method, though it certainly raised my interest.

Roulette Bet Staking Systems

                              that Work !

Visual Roulette

A classic example of a winning roulette bet staking strategy is where the professional roulette player will press the size of his bets as he wins. You may well be wondering why this is such a good idea and may look a bit over keen to give back what’s already won. In fact the player has simply applied a roulette staking system that is directly linked to the quality of the roulette playing conditions. Generally, the potential for predictable roulette will go through phases that directly relate to the conditions that affect the roulette ball. Clearly a pro player is not going to want to bet big at roulette when the conditions for play are poor, causing extra spin and bounce. He will however want to raise the bet size, known as pressing the bets, as soon as he notices the conditions are turning good, with a more rolling and dead action roulette ball. If he is a top roulette professional he will be able to make this judgment by feel and sight alone but if not he could adopt an automatic raising policy as he wins, and he can do this on the basis that winning is virtually always linked to the quality of the playing conditions. The only requirement of the pro player is to first know how to win at roulette during the good conditions and to then know when to pull back from playing big when the conditions turn bad, as they always will.

Staking Bets

on Biased Roulette Numbers

Another of the very few roulette bet staking strategies that will work is related to playing truly biased roulette numbers. Again, there is a winning method already set up and again, it is a method that is based on physical conditions, only in this case it is the poor physical condition of the wheel itself that creates the winning edge and based on that alone, virtually any bet staking system would work when applied within this system of playing roulette, simply because the casino edge is now in your favour.

Roulette Bet Staking Strategies

                that Don’t Work!

There are many well known roulette betting systems and an even greater number of variations thereof. As stated earlier, a roulette bet staking strategy designed to work as a strategy for beating roulette in its own right, will fail in the long term every time.  It took me about 18 months of investigation before drawing such conclusions about pure betting strategies for roulette and I hope that by reading about some of the systems in question you too will be convinced, if you weren’t already, that these roulette betting methods and styles have very little validity, especially in respect of the modern game. Although these systems may be based on solid mathematical foundations, they do not fully account for betting limits and in particular that every bet, whatever its size is still facing the same odds against, otherwise known as the house edge. 

The clear objective of the staking method is be consistently winning in the long term with a playing advantage that is greater than the casinos edge, that being about 2 ¾ % with the European roulette game and about 5 ¼ % in the American roulette game.  That’s quite some difference and a whopping margin required to overcome the odds of American roulette.

 The Martingale Roulette Strategy

;The name Martingale was applied to a group of similar progressive roulette bet staking systems played in the Hocca Parlours in France during the late 1700s. When you see the simplicity of the basic Martingale system it’s easy to see why it was introduced so early in the game’s history and indeed most of us who investigated bet staking systems will possibly like me, consider themselves to be the inventor of this method as like me, they probably discovered this idea and tested it long before ever hearing or reading about it.

When we place our first losing bet in roulette our natural instinct is to want to win it back and what better way than making the bets progressively larger on the basis that at some stage the sequence will change and we will get all our money back, and very quickly too.

The classic and best known version of the Martingale betting structure is known by many others as the ‘doubling up’ system.

Bet on an even chance like Red and then double the size of the bet as the bets lose, in order to win all the lost money back when the sequence eventually changes, as it must eventually do.

Well that’s the theory anyway, but in practice the method overlooks the table limits, which may not have existed in the 18^th Century, but certainly do in the 21^st Century. More significant than the table limit is the same old fact that we have to overcome a casino edge which is always there on every bet we place.

It’s possible to get around the table limits by moving steadily onto wheels with higher minimums and maximums but what’s the point when the basic strategy is flawed anyway. The smaller the starting stake and the larger the bankroll will be two factors that may extend the life of the system but only to come crashing down in the end when the sequence is serious enough to break your bank roll. Sequences of about twenty in a row are really not that rare and if the player was starting with £10 stake he will at some point be faced with the option to bet £2.62 million in order to win back £2.62 million plus the original £10 stake  or to pull out and not bet anymore money against the house edge.

It was reported in the USA in the 1960’s that a horse betting syndicate who had adopted this Martingale system to beat the odds were confronted with the option to bet $60 Million Dollars to recoup losses or pull out. They did withdraw and annoyingly, I can not recall if the horse won or not!

In today’s game The Martingale Strategy for roulette is widely offered up on the internet as a free system for roulette often as a way of luring players to adopt the style in the Online Casinos. The worst part is that nearly everyone who tries it will start of winning and some luckier ones may win for a while but as sure as day follows night that bad sequence will come and when it does there will be a sudden and very catastrophic loss.   This goes along way to explaining why so many players have written glowing testimonials about the Martingale bet staking system, it’s just that they wrote their views too soon and obviously before the system had self destructed. Other versions of The Martingale group of progressive betting strategies, includes the Grand Martingale Roulette System and the Inverted Martingale Roulette System. These methods should be avoided at all costs unless it is a betting structure simply being applied to another roulette system with an already proven advantage.   Slightly less dramatic forms of progressive roulette betting styles have also been adopted by players of the Labouchere roulette system and D’Alembert roulette system where the level of progression is far slower and even at times flat.

Fibonacci Number Sequence For Roulette

Italian mathematician Leornado Pisano, known as Leonardo of Pisa introduced his mathematical and mystical sequence of numbers to the western science community during the thirteenth Century. Later, after his death he was nicknamed Fibonacci.

The Fibonacci Number Sequence

           0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144,

        233, 377, 610, 987, 1597, 2584, 4181, 6765…….

In The Fibonacci sequence the next number is always the sum of the previous two numbers. Many enthusiasts of The Fibonacci numbers associate the pattern with many other natural pattern occurrences in life. This may or not be so but it is interesting that the pattern itself was generated by a theoretical breeding pattern for rabbits, and yet it was this same pattern that had been identified inIndia 500 years earlier.

When it comes to applying this Fibonacci sequence to playing roulette this is the point where the mystery and fascination of the pattern takes over rather than the science itself, unless one can prove that randomness is not really randomness but in fact a sequence conforming to the Fibonacci numbers. No one so far has been able to demonstrate this method working within the roulette game and to that end, it should be disregarded.

The Andrucci Roulette System

I can’t say that I am familiar with every little detail of the Andrucci roulette system but from what I have read it is apparently based on the theory of chaos where at certain times certain numbers will be winning more frequently than others. Players are advised to keep the number data for about 25 spins and to then bet where all the hot action is.

 The first thing to say is that many other players would feel uncomfortable always betting on the hot numbers because of the feeling that they may also be the one group of numbers that one might expect to be more likely to be about to turn cold.

This system would not be my chosen method because I just don’t think that certain numbers will show more at certain times of theoretical chaos.

However what I find very interesting about the Andrucci roulette system is the one situation where this method would have in fact worked, but for completely different reasons than perhaps intended by the creator. More bizarrely therefore, I am suggesting that what the creator thought he was seeing was in fact true yet caused by something completely different to chaos theory.

Imagine what the results would be for the Andrucci roulette strategy player with so many biased numbers flying around and imagine what would happen if these players moved about collecting data from several wheels. The result would be extremely good in that if 1 in 5 wheels were biased then the Andrucci roulette system player would spend one fifth of his time playing biased number wheels by accident alone !  As a result the Andrucci player would also spend one fifth of his time chasing a real hot number which was repeating itself because of being a bias roulette number rather than chaos theory: in other words it all comes down again to the true physical conditions

No wonder the system would have proved so popular all those years ago, but wouldn’t you agree that it was more likely because so many players were often latching on to biased numbers but thinking that they were happening for different and more mystical reasons.  I assume that this would have drawn serious focus to these hot numbers, eventually leading to the first real roulette winning systems of biased number play.

Without anything like so many biased numbers around these days , and because I don’t believe that chaos theory can somehow outweigh true randomness, I would not choose this style of roulette play for today’s game.

Conclusion

The only conclusion we can draw from these various forms of roulette staking systems is to go back to the very start where we stated that a bet staking system on its own will never be enough to work but a bet staking system incorporated into a system that already has a long term winning margin certainly can, and does work.

 Keywords relating to this roulette article; Roulette Staking systems, progressive Visual roulette

How not to bet roulette

Andrucci, Martingale and Fibonacci Roulette systems 

Copyright 2011 Jafco. All rights reserved.

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